A Quick Russia, U.S., Europe and Ukraine Review

  • Europe is 30% dependent on Russian gas. Russia wants to sell high. Europe buy low.
  • The U.S. spends $778 billion on its military. Russia’s budget is $62 billion. That’s less then 1/10th of the U.S. budget.
  • The four borders of the U.S. are comprised of two friendly nations and two vast oceans.
  • Russia’s border to the East include distrustful nations like Poland, which remember Russian occupation; the Western border is China, which has a military budget 5x that of Russia (and growing); the Northern border is the most secure border, though remains long, indefensible and populated by ethnic minorities; Turkey sits at the Southern border and will forever try to block Russian expansion towards the Black Sea. Most of the history of Russia is its neighbors trying to cut it down to size (small, if you please).
  • Europe is Russia’s main export “partner” at around 40%. Europe is also Russia’s largest investor.
  • Russia’s population is split between those who want to be “Europeans” and those who point Asian or Other.
  • Every nation’s military, and ability to defend itself, is a direct function of its economic (exports) profitability.
  • In a sense, the U.S. Dollar is pegged to oil because all oil in the Middle East must be sold in U.S. Dollars. Anyone buying gas/oil in non-U.S. Dollars weakens the U.S. Dollar. If this wasn’t the case, the U.S. wouldn’t support Saudi Arabia in all the sleaziness that entails. It wouldn’t have invaded Iraq. It wouldn’t still be in Syria. It remains an arcane subject to 99% of the population.
  • Like businesses, every nation uses secondary advantages to monopolize its economic interests where it can. For example, businesses in the U.S. have the benefit of the U.S. petro Dollar (see above). In China, businesses have the benefit of State subsidies and protectionism.
  • Green energy has not found a way to replace gas/oil for many critical uses like heating and industrial transportation.
  • The U.S. can use its entire military budget for offensive interests. Russia must allocate much of its budget for defense. At 1/10th the budget of the U.S., Russia is at a severe disadvantage.
  • Russia could invade Ukraine, but it could not keep it. (Crimea is a different story because one, it’s more important to Russia, being on the Black Sea. Secondly, there’s a large Russian-identifying public.)
  • Europe lost on its bet in green energy and must pay a premium for gas and oil. Paying a premium for Russian gas remains cheaper than the U.S. Global Order alternatives.

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I try to write stories that go where the general media doesn’t.

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