Max Can't Help It!
2 min readMay 30, 2022

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Hi Scott. Yes, if you look at small sections of the Donbas they have are taking territory. If you look to the north, they're losing it. But I think winning is more than just taking some territory.

One wins nothing if they can't hold onto it. Russia from the beginning gains then loses territory. Russia is fighting with the best equipment it has and has expended a lot of it. I see very few cruise missile or other precision strikes. Most of them these days are psychological warfare potshots that won't change anything.

Remember, at the beginning of the war Russia's ships were threatening Odesa. Now where are they? The Russian air force doesn't control the skies, Short of long-range precision missiles, they can't do much far from the Russian border.

Ukraine is still waiting on shipments of precision weapons. Russia knows that. THEREOFRE, Russia must take the high ground and much area before those weapons arrive. It should be easy for them, they have the protected logistics routes to do so and no buearocracy.

So to win they need to take a lot of territory quickly, if the Donbas is their focus, which I've said from the beginning, won't matter (as it didn't in 2014). Persoanally, I don't care about the Donbas (more a political touchstone). It's the South that matters.

You'll notice the T-62s go to Donbas and T-72/80s are going to the South, so seems Russia agrees ;)

A leader in Ukraine recently said it will take untill 2023 to drive Russia out of Ukraine.

Bottom line, yes, I see the slow wins Russia is accomplishing. But their whole plan seems to be wait until the West starts caving, politicially, and claim a victory of this or that. That might happen. Certainly possible. In that regard, I agree, they are slowly winning.

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Max Can't Help It!
Max Can't Help It!

Written by Max Can't Help It!

Trying to connect what hasn't been connected.

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