I'm not as confident as you are about what's going on. The West, Ukraine and Russia have not shared real-time satellite images or intelligence. It's all propaganda to me. The Russians have withdrawn 75% of their force near Kyiv. But again, I can't find any solid intelligence about what happened. And I can't read Putin's mind about why he withdrew those forces.

It's not my claim that Ukraine can't push Russia away from the South, it's the claim of every military expert I've listened to. If you think you know better than them, okay. I don't know. And it wasn't me who thought Russia would take Ukraine in 4 days. Pretty much everyone did, including the Biden administration. If anything, I believe I thought Russia would not be able to in the long-term.

I no longer believe Russia can surround Odesa. Again, I'm learning as I go along and what I learn is far from gospel. I don't write to tell you what the truth is. I'm sorry if it comes across that way. Thanks for the comment!