I'm sorry to be dense (I know you're not calling me stupid though feel free ;)) But it's a separate probability, isn't it, that any lab studying SARS will accidently release a virus. For reasons I wrote elsewhere, I believe the probability of a lab accident in China is high. The argument that there are many labs doesn't work for me because that lab was studying the SARs virus not as a matter of speculation.

The core problem I have, we agree on? China should not have allowed that wet market to operate, full stop. The local governments try to suppress bad news. Like so much in China, the way things work lead to many accidents. Then you have the CCP with its international paranoia.

When the U.S. killed that family of 10 in Afghanistan it could have covered it up or blamed something else. But it didn't. I'm not saying the West is saintly, but I have never seen China admit to anything it did. The recent spy balloons were a recent example.

Or put another way, you see a lot of evidence that points to the virus occurring in the market naturally. I see a lot of evidence (for what it's worth) that China almost actively creates tragic situations which it never takes responsibility for.

In 2021 IN WUHAN busses got stock in a flooded tunnel. Anywhere in the West we would know the number of names of every single person who died. In China, they report neither the number of people dead or who they were.

But I defer to you that it's most likely a wet market incident. I really do. But 60/40 is the best I can do haha!