my 2-cents, which I don't think you're mind as it's 2-cents more of bad news. China sales of stuff that can be use by the military is probably growing. Why not? Western goods are already getting into China but the media won't really look at it. Remember all the stories you wrote before the war (I do), well, just think about the same corruption in China pushing goods into Russia (for some gold bars).

With Biden further aggravating US/China relations it's a wonder China hasn't just admitted to it. Or maybe his balloon thing is a warning about that.

I believe the U.S./Ukraine have an interesting plan. This is where I blow smoke out of my ass. Ukraine has been stockpiling precision weapons and the knowledge to use them. In the summer, they will do some combined forces operations, maybe in the South, but their real goal will be to stir up the nest so they can take out every Russian officer or elite who has one foot in Ukraine. If you have money or influence, and you're in Ukraine, your probability of getting killed this summer will exponentially increase. The ruling class will be sent a message. A kind of Ukrainian "shock and awe".

That's how they plan to bring down the Putin regime. If not, maybe I'll write a novel where it happens that way haha